BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Central Conn

Class: 1 Class Rank: 335 Conference: Northeast Record: (7-10) Overall: (10-22) Overall Strength =   10.50

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    -2.16  67  94    1 185 ( 15- 15) Massachusetts         -12.51    -14.49                      
  2 11-13-2022 Home    L    16.76  70  72    1 169 ( 20- 11) Qunnipiac               6.42     -8.42                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    L    15.48  74  91    1  86 ( 17- 14) St John's               5.14    -22.14                      
  4 11-19-2022 Neutral L    11.56  50  55    1 259 ( 10- 22) Lafayette               1.21     -6.21                      
  5 11-20-2022 Away    L    18.75  76  78    1 249 ( 18- 14) UMBC                    8.41    -10.41                      
  6 11-23-2022 Home    L     3.27  58  66    1 284 ( 13- 17) Maine                  -7.07     -0.93                      
  7 11-26-2022 Away    L     5.45  49  83    1  34 ( 18- 12) Rutgers                -4.90 *  -29.10                      
  8 11-29-2022 Home    L     9.79  51  59    1 193 ( 14- 13) Brown                  -0.56     -7.44                      
  9 12-03-2022 Away    L     7.25  57  63    1 343 ( 10- 22) Holy Cross             -3.09     -2.91                      
 10 12-09-2022 Home    W    21.69  59  50    1 271 ( 10- 18) Dartmouth              11.34     -2.34                      
 11 12-11-2022 Away    L    14.28  77  90    1 146 ( 24-  7) Fordham                 3.94    -16.94                      
 12 12-16-2022 Away    W    27.78  78  67    1 302 ( 12- 17) Manhattan              17.44     -6.44                      
 13 12-20-2022 Home    L     2.84  55  66    1 251 ( 17- 15) Army                   -7.51     -3.49                      
 14 12-22-2022 Away    L     7.24  66  83    1 200 ( 14- 16) St Joseph's PA         -3.11    -13.89                      
 15 12-29-2022 Away    L *   5.71  72  80    1 338 ( 13- 18) St Francis PA          -4.64     -3.36                      
 16 12-31-2022 Home    W *  25.88  74  52    1 356 ( 14- 16) St Francis NY          15.54      6.46                      
 17 01-05-2023 Home    W *  15.62  78  59    1 363 (  3- 26) LIU Brooklyn            5.28     13.72                      
 18 01-07-2023 Away    L *  12.89  49  51    1 329 ( 14- 17) Stonehill               2.55     -4.55                      
 19 01-14-2023 Home    L *   1.46  80  88    1 318 ( 19- 14) F Dickinson            -8.88      0.88                      
 20 01-20-2023 Away    L *  -6.15  50  72    1 322 ( 15- 13) Wagner                -16.50     -5.50                      
 21 01-22-2023 Away    W *  19.38  58  42    1 363 (  3- 26) LIU Brooklyn            9.03      6.97                      
 22 01-26-2023 Home    L *   6.31  61  64    1 320 ( 17- 16) Merrimack              -4.04      1.04                      
 23 01-28-2023 Home    W *  20.96  88  74    1 338 ( 13- 18) St Francis PA          10.61      3.39                      
 24 02-02-2023 Away    L *   5.64  48  53    1 356 ( 14- 16) St Francis NY          -4.71     -0.29                      
 25 02-04-2023 Away    L *   1.66  65  78    1 327 ( 16- 17) Sacred Heart           -8.69     -4.31                      
 26 02-08-2023 Away    W    13.58  82  73    1 362 (  5- 23) Hartford                3.24      5.76                      
 27 02-11-2023 Away    W *  20.21  77  73    1 318 ( 19- 14) F Dickinson             9.87     -5.87                      
 28 02-16-2023 Home    W *  10.10  58  57    1 322 ( 15- 13) Wagner                 -0.25      1.25                      
 29 02-18-2023 Home    W *  12.14  94  90 3  1 329 ( 14- 17) Stonehill               1.79      2.21                      
 30 02-23-2023 Away    L *   0.06  54  70    1 320 ( 17- 16) Merrimack             -10.29     -5.71                      
 31 02-25-2023 Home    L *   5.91  67  69    1 327 ( 16- 17) Sacred Heart           -4.44      2.44                      
 32 03-01-2023 Away    L *  -0.29  69  83    1 338 ( 13- 18) St Francis PA         -10.64     -3.36                      
      Averages              10.34  66.0 70.2

Best game:   27.78 = 11 point win over Manhattan
Worst game:  -6.15 = 22 point loss to Wagner
Team stdev:   8.43